Guides by field

Market & business analysts

Segment customers, optimize reach, run A/B tests, and read what moves the numbers.

Business analytics turns customer and campaign data into decisions: who to target, which product mix to carry, whether a change actually helped. Most of these questions are classical statistics wearing a business hat — an A/B test is a two-proportion test, key-driver analysis is regression, a perceptual map is correspondence analysis.

A couple of practices keep the conclusions trustworthy. Size an A/B test up front and resist “peeking” — repeatedly checking significance as data streams in inflates the false-positive rate, so use a fixed sample size or a sequential-testing correction. And when you slice a result across many segments or variants, correct for multiple comparisons before crowning a winner. Analytics projects are often organized around the CRISP-DM cycle (business understanding → data → modeling → evaluation → deployment).

Segmenting customers (Wedel & Kamakura)

Group customers by behavior so you can treat them differently. RFM scores each on how recently, how often, and how much they buy; clustering finds natural segments from any set of features.

  • — Model which of several segments or brands a customer picks.
  • — Recency / Frequency / Monetary segmentation.
  • — Behavioral clustering into k segments.
  • — Dendrogram of segments — choose the cut.
  • — Auto-selects the number of segments (BIC).

Product mix & reach (TURF)

TURF (Total Unduplicated Reach and Frequency) finds the smallest set of products, flavors, or messages that reaches the most distinct people — the classic assortment / line-up optimization question.

  • — Maximize unduplicated reach from a candidate set.

A/B tests & conversion (Kohavi et al. 2020)

Did version B convert better than A? That is a two-proportion test. For richer breakdowns use a contingency table; the 2×2 calculator adds the lift, relative risk, and risk difference behind the headline.

  • — Compare two conversion rates (A/B test).
  • — Lift / relative risk / risk difference from a 2×2.
  • — Association across several segments or variants.
  • — Declare two variants equivalent, rather than merely "not significant".
  • — Benford's law screen for fabricated numbers in submitted data.

What drives the outcome? (key-driver regression)

Key-driver analysis is regression: relate satisfaction, spend, or churn to its predictors and rank their influence. Logistic regression handles yes/no outcomes like churn; regularization tames many correlated survey items.

  • — Key-driver / spend models (rank predictor influence).
  • — Churn / conversion drivers (binary outcome).
  • — Many correlated drivers — lasso/ridge to stabilize.

Perceptual maps & item structure (Greenacre)

Correspondence analysis turns a brand × attribute table into a 2D perceptual map; factor analysis and PCA collapse many survey items into a few underlying dimensions you can name and track.

  • — Brand–attribute perceptual map (biplot).
  • — Reduce survey items to latent dimensions.
  • — Index construction / dimension reduction.
  • — Show what built the change between two totals, step by step.
  • — Are two correlations significantly different?

Forecasting demand (Box–Jenkins · Hyndman)

Project sales, traffic, or demand forward from history, capturing trend and seasonality.

  • — Separate the trend from the seasonal swing before you forecast.
  • — ARIMA forecast with prediction intervals.
  • — Decomposable trend + seasonality forecast.

References & further reading

  • Kohavi, Tang & Xu (2020). Trustworthy Online Controlled Experiments. Cambridge University Press.
  • Wedel & Kamakura (2000). Market Segmentation: Conceptual and Methodological Foundations. Springer.
  • CRISP-DM — Cross-Industry Standard Process for Data Mining.
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