One-phase exponential decay fits y = (Y0 − Plateau) · exp(−K · x) + Plateau, with half-life ln(2) / K.
Three parameters: Y0 (initial value at x = 0), Plateau (asymptotic value as x → ∞), K (decay rate constant; half-life = ln 2 / K). The model captures any single-pool exponential decay — drug elimination, radioactive decay, voltage discharge.
When residuals show systematic structure suggesting two pools (PK with both fast and slow clearance phases, biphasic radioactive decay), upgrade to nonlinear_exp_two_phase.
Numeric time X + signal Y.
Y0 + Plateau + K with 95% CIs.
Report half-life t½ = ln 2 / K with its CI — that's the more clinically interpretable number than K itself.